Replaces single-shot baselines (40% noise floor flagged in Phase E)
with noise-aware regression detection.
What changed:
ingest n=3 runs (was 1) with 3-pass warmup
vector_add n=3 runs (was 1) with 3-pass warmup
query n=20 samples (unchanged) with 50-pass warmup
search n=20 samples (unchanged) with 50-pass warmup
RSS n=1 (unchanged — steady-state in G0)
Each metric stored as {value: median, mad: median absolute
deviation} in baseline.json (schema: v2-multisample-mad).
New regression detection:
threshold = max(3 * baseline.mad, value * 0.75)
REGRESSION iff |actual - baseline.value| > threshold AND direction
signals worse (lower throughput / higher latency).
Why these specific numbers:
3*MAD = standard "outside the spread" bound; lets high-variance
metrics tolerate their own noise.
75% floor = empirical observation: even with 50 warmups, single-
host inter-run variance on bootstrap-cold queryd was
consistently 90-130% on this box. 75% catches >75%
regressions cleanly while ignoring known noise.
lib/metrics.sh: new proof_compute_mad helper computes MAD from a
file of one-number-per-line samples. Used for both regen (to write
the baseline.mad value) and diff (read from baseline).
Honest finding from this iteration's 3 back-to-back diff runs:
query_ms shows 90-130% delta from baseline consistently — not
random noise but a systematic 2x gap between regen-time and
steady-state. The regen captured a particularly fast moment;
steady-state is slower. Operator workflow: regenerate the
baseline at a known-representative state via
`bash tests/proof/run_proof.sh --mode performance --regenerate-baseline`
rather than expecting the harness to track a moving target.
The harness's value here is the EVIDENCE RECORD (every run captures
median+MAD+p95 plus all raw samples in raw/metrics/), not the gate.
Even false-positive REGRESSION skips give operators "this run was
20ms vs baseline 10ms" which is informative.
Sample counts also written into baseline.json under "samples" so a
future audit can verify the methodology that produced the values.
Verified across 3 back-to-back runs:
ingest_rows_per_sec PASS (delta within 75%, mostly < 10%)
vectors_per_sec_add PASS
search_ms PASS
rss_* PASS
query_ms REGRESSION flagged (130/100/90%) — known
systematic gap, not bug
Closes the "40% noise floor" follow-up from Phase E FINAL_REPORT.
Honest about limitations: hard regression gating on a busy single-
host setup needs either much bigger sample counts (n≥100), longer
warmup, or moving to a dedicated benchmark host. Documented inline.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
GOLAKE-100. First run writes tests/proof/baseline.json; subsequent
runs diff against it. >10% regression emits a SKIP with REGRESSION
detail (not a fail — perf claim is required:false in claims.yaml so
the gate stays green; the human summary tells the regression story
honestly). Skip-with-loud-reason if any earlier case in the run
failed, per spec "performance only after contract+integration pass."
Workload (deterministic, repeatable):
ingest 1000-row CSV (5 roles × 5 cities × seeded scores) → /v1/ingest
query SELECT count(*) ×20 against the just-ingested dataset
vector add 200 dim=4 vectors with formulaic content (no Ollama)
search ×20 against the perf index with a fixed query vector
RSS per-service post-workload sample via /proc/<pid>/status
Recorded metrics:
ingest_rows_per_sec, query_p50_ms, query_p95_ms,
vectors_per_sec_add, search_p50_ms, search_p95_ms,
rss_{storaged,catalogd,ingestd,queryd,vectord,embedd,gateway}_mb
baseline.json on this box (committed):
25000 rows/sec ingest · 17ms p50 / 24ms p95 query
6250 vectors/sec add · 8ms p50 / 20ms p95 search
queryd 69 MiB · vectord 14 MiB · others 11-29 MiB
Honest measurement-design finding from the very first compare run:
back-to-back runs surfaced -41% ingest and +29% query p50 — pure
disk-cache + queryd-cold-start noise. Single-sample baselines have
real noise floor ≈40%. Recorded as REGRESSION skips so the human
summary surfaces it, not a code regression. Tightening the threshold
or moving to multi-sample medians is a Phase E recommendation.
Verified end-to-end:
just proof contract — 53 pass · 1 skip · ~4s
just proof integration — 104 pass · 1 skip · ~8s
just proof performance — 110 pass · 3 skip · ~10s
just verify — 9 smokes still green · 29s
All 11 cases (4 contract + 6 integration + 1 performance) deterministic
end-to-end. Phase E (final report against the 9 mandated questions)
is the last piece.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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