root 7e6431e4fd langfuse: Go-side client + Phase 1c instrumentation
The Rust side has Langfuse tracing already (gateway/v1/langfuse_trace.rs);
this commit lands Go-side parity so the multi-coord stress harness can
emit traces visible at http://localhost:3001.

internal/langfuse/client.go:
- Minimal Trace + Span + Flush API mirroring what the Rust emitter
  uses. Auth: Basic over public_key:secret_key.
- Best-effort posture: errors are slog.Warn'd, never block calling
  paths. Same fail-open as observerd's persistor (ADR-005 Decision
  5.1) — observability is a witness, not a gate.
- Events buffered until 50, then auto-flushed; explicit Flush() at
  process exit.
- Each Trace/Span returns its id so callers can build hierarchies.

multi_coord_stress driver wiring:
- New --langfuse-env flag (default /etc/lakehouse/langfuse.env).
  Empty / missing / unparseable file → skip tracing with a logged
  warning; run still proceeds.
- Phase 1c (inbox burst) now emits one parent trace + 4 spans per
  inbox event:
    1. observerd.inbox.record  (post to /v1/observer/inbox)
    2. llm.parse_demand        (qwen2.5 → structured fields)
    3. matrix.search           (parsed query → top-K)
    4. llm.judge_top1          (rate top-1 vs original body)
  Each span carries input/output JSON + start/end times so the
  Langfuse UI shows a full waterfall per event.

Run #009 result:
  Trace landed: "multi_coord_stress phase 1c inbox burst"
  Observations attached: 24 (= 6 events × 4 spans)
  Tags: stress, phase-1c, inbox
  Browseable at http://localhost:3001 by tag query.

Other harness metrics: diversity 0.016, determinism 1.000,
verbatim handover 4/4, paraphrase handover 4/4 — all unchanged
by the tracing addition (best-effort post in parallel).

Phase 1c is the proof-of-concept; future commits can wrap other
phases (baseline / merge / handover / split) in traces too. Once
that's done, the entire stress run becomes scrubbable in Langfuse
without grepping the events JSON.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-30 16:25:03 -05:00
..

reports/reality-tests — does the 5-loop substrate actually work?

Reality tests measure product outcomes, not substrate health. The 21 smokes prove the system runs; the proof harness proves the system makes the claims it claims; reality tests answer: does the small-model pipeline + matrix indexer + playbook give measurably better results than raw cosine?

This is the gate from project_small_model_pipeline_vision.md: "the playbook + matrix indexer must give the results we're looking for." Single load-bearing criterion. Throughput, scaling, code elegance are secondary.


What lives here

Each reality test is a numbered run that produces:

  • <test>_<NNN>.json — raw structured evidence (per-query data, summary metrics)
  • <test>_<NNN>.md — human-readable report with headline metrics, per-query table, honesty caveats, next moves

Runs are append-only. Earlier runs stay in tree as historical baseline.


Test catalog

playbook_lift_<NNN> — does the playbook actually lift the right answer?

Driver: scripts/playbook_lift.shbin/playbook_lift Queries: tests/reality/playbook_lift_queries.txt Pipeline: cold pass → LLM judge → playbook record → warm pass → measure ranking shift.

The headline question: when the LLM judge finds a better answer than cosine top-1, can the playbook boost it to top-1 on the next run? If yes, the learning loop closes; if no, the matrix layer + playbook is infrastructure for a thesis that doesn't pay rent.

See the run reports for honesty caveats — chiefly that the LLM judge IS the ground-truth proxy.


Running a reality test

# Defaults: judge resolved from lakehouse.toml [models].local_judge,
# workers limit 5000, run id 001
./scripts/playbook_lift.sh

# Re-run with a different judge to check inter-judge agreement
# (env JUDGE_MODEL overrides the config tier)
JUDGE_MODEL=qwen3:latest RUN_ID=002 ./scripts/playbook_lift.sh

# Smaller scale for fast iteration
WORKERS_LIMIT=1000 K=5 RUN_ID=dev ./scripts/playbook_lift.sh

Judge resolution priority (Phase 3, 2026-04-29):

  1. -judge flag on the Go driver (explicit override)
  2. JUDGE_MODEL env var (operator override)
  3. lakehouse.toml [models].local_judge (default)
  4. Hardcoded qwen3.5:latest (last-resort fallback if config missing)

This means model bumps land in lakehouse.toml, not in this script or the Go driver. Bumping local_judge to a stronger local model (e.g. when qwen4 ships) takes one line.

Requires: Ollama on :11434 with nomic-embed-text + the resolved judge model loaded. Skips cleanly (exit 0) if Ollama is absent.


Interpreting results

Three thresholds matter on the playbook_lift tests:

Lift rate (lifts / discoveries) Verdict
≥ 50% Loop closes — playbook is doing real work, move to paraphrase queries
20-50% Lift exists but inconsistent — investigate boost math (score × 0.5) or judge variance
< 20% Loop is not pulling its weight — diagnose before adding more components

A separate concern: discovery rate (cold judge-best ≠ cold top-1). If discovery is itself rare (< 30% of queries), cosine is already close to optimal on this query distribution and the matrix+playbook layer has little headroom. That's not necessarily a bug — but it means the value gate has to come from somewhere else (multi-corpus retrieval, domain-specific tags, drift signal).


What this is not

  • Not a benchmark. No comparison against external systems; only internal cold-vs-warm.
  • Not a regression gate. Each run is a snapshot. Scores will drift with corpus changes, judge updates, and playbook math tuning. Don't wire just verify to demand a minimum lift.
  • Not human-validated. The LLM judge is the ground truth proxy. Sample 5-10 verdicts manually per run to sanity-check the judge isn't pathological.